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	<title>Opindian &#187; influence</title>
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		<title>McCain&#039;s Biggest Obstacle &amp; How He Should Address It</title>
		<link>http://opindian.com/blog/2008/01/21/mccains-biggest-obstacle/</link>
		<comments>http://opindian.com/blog/2008/01/21/mccains-biggest-obstacle/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Jan 2008 00:56:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Anish</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rants & Ramblings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[influence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://opindian.com/blog/2008/01/21/mccains-biggest-obstacle/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Eight years ago, I was on board the McCain campaign. Four years ago, I was on board the Anybody-But-Bush campaign. This time around, I struggle with picking a candidate. The only legitimate Republican I could see myself voting for is McCain; and, at the same time, I want someone who does not believe in the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Eight years ago, I was on board the McCain campaign.  Four years ago, I was on board the Anybody-But-Bush campaign.  This time around, I struggle with picking a candidate.  The only legitimate Republican I could see myself voting for is McCain; and, at the same time, I want someone who does not believe in the justness of the Iraq war so vehemently as McCain has from the beginning.<sup>1</sup></p>
<p>As the staunchest Iraq war supporter, I think McCain has to do more to make voters think about the consequences of America withdrawing from Iraq.  I have no doubt he could repair International relations and actually help create a &#8220;Coalition.&#8221;  But, he will not do it as Leader of the Free World unless he can convince the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_popular_opinion_on_invasion_of_Iraq" title="Americans are Against Iraq War">2/3rd of Americans against the Iraq war</a> that it is necessary.</p>
<p>McCain&#8217;s biggest hurdle (w.r.t. Independent/Moderate vote) is convincing the anti-Iraq War contingency that a continued presence in Iraq is the best thing for American [self] interest.</p>
<p>McCain just has to make Americans think about and question some of the most likely scenarios if we were to stay/leave Iraq.<span>  </span>It should be easy for McCain to help people understand the risks and rewards since he claims to “speak an unfiltered truth.”<span>  </span>And, of course, this needs to be tied into the short-term/long-term effect on the US economy and foreign imports (specifically, oil).</p>
<p>I think most educated Americans understand that the Middle East is a Mecca for terrorist (sorry for the intentional pun).  And, I&#8217;m not suggesting fear-mongering, gloom-and-doom stories, or Kerry-like monologues on the thousands of possibilities (because that would be pessimistic and everyone knows only a make-me-feel-good optimist can win the common vote).<span>  </span>But, step 1 would be to elaborate on the consequences or defeat/withdrawal listed on McCain&#8217;s official website regarding Iraq:</p>
<blockquote><p>Defeat in the war would lead to much more violence in Iraq, greatly embolden Iran, undermine U.S. allies such as Israel, likely lead to wider conflict, result in a terrorist safe haven in the heart of the Middle East, and gravely damage U.S. credibility throughout the world.<sup>2</sup></p></blockquote>
<p>With the anti-war sentiment that is dominant amongst most Americans (Republican and Democrat), winning the Independent/Moderate/Anti-Bush vote is critical for a Republican to win.<span>  Currently, the Anti-Bush Republicans have plenty of options to choose from (meaning, I don&#8217;t think they want McCain).   For this reason, I hope </span>McCain can clarify and convince other of his position because I don&#8217;t think any other Republican candidate has a shot against the Democratic nominee &#8211; whoever that ends up being.</p>
<ol class="footnotes"><li id="footnote_0_107" class="footnote"><a href="http://rawstory.com/news/2007/McCain_I_would_have_started_Iraq_0106.html" target="_blank" title="McCain Would Have Started Iraq Regardless of WMDs">McCain interview with Meet The Press on Jan 6, 2008</a></li><li id="footnote_1_107" class="footnote"><a href="http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Issues/fdeb03a7-30b0-4ece-8e34-4c7ea83f11d8.htm" target="_blank">John McCain&#8217;s Official Website:  On The Issues &#8211; Iraq</a></li></ol>]]></content:encoded>
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